{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:47.295419+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:47.742283+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:48.151686+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:48.575337+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:48.985549+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:49.384515+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:49.785891+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:50.242238+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:50.626018+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:51.033929+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:51.452978+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:51.851530+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:52.252689+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:52.691008+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:53.072289+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:53.464316+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:53.900581+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:54.300560+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:54.729660+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:55.133149+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:55.554729+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:55.966953+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:56.367960+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:56.770475+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:57.140127+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:57.538494+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:57.947554+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:58.328842+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:58.743343+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:59.150533+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:59.530160+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:43:59.982112+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:00.451964+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:00.840966+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:01.245078+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:01.655592+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:02.075974+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:02.468552+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:02.887647+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:03.307017+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:03.717659+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:04.098658+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:04.498451+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:04.907342+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:05.295884+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:05.712979+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:06.105068+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:06.486049+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:06.885722+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:07.368899+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:07.791571+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:08.184039+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:08.613814+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:09.037459+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:09.625484+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:10.018899+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:10.481643+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:10.922958+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:11.310166+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:11.744876+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:12.153652+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:12.587071+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:12.981327+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:13.383066+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:13.776357+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:14.169762+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.1}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.1}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:14.546219+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:14.954589+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:15.392048+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:15.817063+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:16.218110+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:16.638949+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:17.022270+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:17.452296+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:17.882511+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:18.300468+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:18.717826+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:19.158718+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:19.546654+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:19.928806+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:20.312831+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:20.700372+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:21.099008+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:21.496151+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:21.876310+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:22.261926+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:22.790113+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:23.183649+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:23.568886+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:23.984760+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:24.369949+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:24.783808+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:25.183425+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:25.580843+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:25.967853+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:26.398571+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:26.816917+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:27.301213+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:27.746583+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:28.171313+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:28.581598+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:28.987641+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:29.406080+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:29.795726+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:30.209184+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:30.671815+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:31.075232+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:31.479409+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:31.859516+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:32.296139+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:32.688311+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:33.091883+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:33.487750+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:33.889811+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:34.332440+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:34.733458+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:35.126123+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:35.518435+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:35.940090+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:36.336907+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:36.716293+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:37.158465+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:37.552109+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:37.959764+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:38.495097+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:38.995189+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:39.398466+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:39.808523+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:40.186673+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:40.587403+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:41.008642+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:41.430063+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:41.822073+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:42.212655+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:42.611397+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:42.994684+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:43.407561+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:43.799199+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:44.221436+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:44.617635+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:45.000946+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:45.452416+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:45.957905+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:46.339990+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:46.815725+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:47.214161+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:47.643291+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:48.116620+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:48.508435+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:48.894289+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:49.286222+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:49.682957+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:50.133421+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:50.535673+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:50.982504+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:51.410038+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:51.809705+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:52.181279+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:52.614403+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:53.082853+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:53.494306+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:54.038215+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:54.427845+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:54.819743+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:55.233593+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:55.664053+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:56.067772+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:56.446793+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:56.893014+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:57.300031+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:57.676566+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:58.079658+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:58.503190+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:59.069206+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:59.459397+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:44:59.865982+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:00.250418+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:00.700960+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:01.121592+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:01.511999+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:01.921575+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:02.307946+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:02.889230+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:03.280674+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:03.661647+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:04.092372+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:04.525363+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:04.963728+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:05.360415+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:05.798008+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:06.170829+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:06.584216+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:06.966907+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:07.381678+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:07.804268+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:08.209870+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:08.641869+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:09.036677+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:09.425948+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:09.829421+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:10.217210+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:10.600297+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:11.028590+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:11.484255+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:12.016439+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:12.406212+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:12.839078+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:13.242967+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:13.659151+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:14.057704+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:14.485215+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:14.874892+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:15.262398+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:15.678957+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:16.122340+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:16.553679+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:17.007649+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:17.398448+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:17.790940+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:18.200775+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:18.593838+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:18.973103+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:19.344143+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:19.777251+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:20.254326+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:20.677178+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:21.087361+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:21.543943+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:21.964682+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:22.340689+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:22.728879+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:23.133002+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:23.517038+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:23.916518+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:24.308187+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:24.742734+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:25.116302+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:25.521201+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:25.971217+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:26.406202+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:26.792035+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:27.194276+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:27.582776+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:27.986775+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:28.414515+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:28.876865+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:29.262228+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:29.703248+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:30.133134+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:30.528968+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:30.925670+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:31.362286+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:31.780194+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:32.262533+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:32.632427+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:33.007346+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:33.390044+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:33.770587+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:34.227765+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:34.615160+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:34.999765+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:35.387576+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:35.785397+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:36.187247+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:36.583443+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:37.074761+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:37.516405+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:37.920900+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:38.325766+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:38.720862+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:39.133818+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:39.532876+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:39.922812+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:40.320044+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:40.684029+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:41.112216+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:41.503435+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:41.917079+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:42.364718+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:42.760097+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:43.158961+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:43.600250+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:44.014091+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:44.405603+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:44.811317+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:45.220946+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:45.644929+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:46.082922+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:46.491243+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:46.920431+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:47.334894+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:47.729565+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:48.104243+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:48.505583+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:48.920589+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:49.299525+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:49.689358+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:50.095909+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:50.522268+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:50.895459+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:51.340780+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:51.744158+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:52.159185+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:52.964134+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:53.356448+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:53.733714+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:54.142787+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:54.582817+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:55.014110+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:55.392165+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:55.805746+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:56.266957+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:56.674635+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:57.128453+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:57.535242+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:57.919583+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:58.312498+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:58.760117+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:59.162690+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:45:59.692126+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:00.115104+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:00.499857+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:00.909103+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:01.310171+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:01.766118+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:02.180947+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:02.631563+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:03.054133+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:03.501850+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:03.996004+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:04.416148+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:04.836290+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:05.250038+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:05.653831+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:06.095983+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:06.536190+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:06.944935+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:07.342765+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:07.712415+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:08.086403+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:08.483562+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:08.863552+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:09.301345+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:09.690251+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:10.175634+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:10.597519+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:11.007749+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:11.410118+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:11.864910+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:12.334911+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:12.904014+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:13.336453+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:13.779529+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:14.170196+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:14.590639+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:15.006549+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:15.472757+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:15.903200+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:16.352909+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:16.791554+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:17.202877+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:17.603041+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:18.040248+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:18.461954+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:18.889970+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:19.278976+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:19.683312+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:20.089974+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:20.548506+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:20.959280+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:21.432140+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:21.871335+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:22.416156+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:22.850319+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:23.262501+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:23.666275+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:24.065534+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:24.483749+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:24.940940+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:25.352771+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:25.764459+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:26.148980+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:26.570907+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:26.982842+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:27.397537+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:27.816848+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:28.227735+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:28.627573+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:29.030739+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:29.408607+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:29.813932+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:30.201087+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:30.599511+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:30.974885+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:31.390919+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:31.774220+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:32.178711+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:32.583488+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:33.002896+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:33.427129+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:33.928908+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:34.306309+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:34.713641+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:35.160911+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:35.549252+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:35.975091+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:36.411288+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:36.814907+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:37.278836+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:37.736202+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:38.195424+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:38.613904+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:39.054495+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:39.450689+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:39.890867+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:40.325316+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:40.774151+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:41.151364+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:41.596513+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:42.021984+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:42.459374+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:42.915213+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:43.302397+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:43.740634+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:44.134624+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:44.557656+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:44.979502+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:45.390776+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:45.794802+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:46.236726+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:46.643175+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:47.034897+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:47.449112+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:47.936616+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:48.365139+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:48.770898+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:49.153210+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:49.574060+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:49.971746+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:50.371742+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:50.777567+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:51.232259+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:51.614113+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:52.008286+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:52.422299+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:52.813062+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:53.212037+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:53.637958+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:54.040735+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:54.432389+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:54.860381+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:55.253993+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:55.684672+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:56.082834+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:56.498679+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:56.932890+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:57.334670+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:57.740704+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:58.165164+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:58.602034+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:58.992600+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:59.434271+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:46:59.856610+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:00.339796+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:00.864869+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:01.318873+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:01.738850+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:02.195927+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:02.569675+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:03.000644+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:03.409686+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:03.851332+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:04.319849+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:04.716748+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:05.155314+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:05.611437+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:06.019791+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:06.472965+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:06.899289+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:07.278495+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:07.679557+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:08.074985+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:08.622079+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:09.019779+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:09.424527+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:09.890539+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:10.332755+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:10.751137+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:11.157261+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:11.569542+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:11.973071+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:12.353686+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:12.746686+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:13.173792+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:13.593334+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:13.980261+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.1}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.1}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:14.401197+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:14.795165+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:15.224485+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:15.709544+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:16.142915+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:16.636024+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:17.018260+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:17.451576+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:17.859398+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:18.330179+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:18.711372+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:19.120008+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:19.504951+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:19.909353+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:20.478179+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:20.902654+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:21.311285+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:21.722867+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:22.141784+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:22.604965+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:23.023838+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:23.424929+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:23.804543+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:24.193596+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:24.593576+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:25.023777+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:25.448030+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:25.857574+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:26.286946+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:26.737397+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:27.126974+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:27.553358+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:27.952825+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:28.326546+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:28.760630+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:29.224612+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:29.663287+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:30.070321+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:30.494977+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:30.919496+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:31.297258+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:31.682200+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:32.092278+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:32.499186+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:32.902064+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:33.395136+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:33.802781+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:34.207507+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:34.632911+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:35.131506+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:35.602238+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:36.064548+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:37.457899+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.67}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.67}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:37.899557+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:38.290618+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:38.746097+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:39.174634+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:39.846567+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:40.228278+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:40.645751+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:41.054128+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:41.423020+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:41.815273+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:42.251078+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:42.704351+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.66}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.66}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:43.107917+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:43.537259+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:44.157349+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:44.561649+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:44.952972+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:45.368113+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:45.756503+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:46.177714+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:46.604569+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:46.980025+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:47.380025+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:47.775414+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:48.202271+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:48.613652+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:49.029560+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:49.520706+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:49.948831+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:50.361823+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:50.807812+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:51.223529+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:51.667006+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:52.206829+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:52.589376+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:53.076160+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:53.472629+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:53.912549+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:54.319445+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:54.727645+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:55.168518+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:55.555678+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:55.966538+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:56.396009+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:56.919487+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:57.326637+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:57.706465+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:58.203070+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:58.690125+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:59.118926+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:59.519271+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:47:59.940095+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:00.348081+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:00.803331+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:01.202531+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:01.776669+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:02.204467+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:02.675423+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:03.090994+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:03.631415+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:04.041017+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:04.551133+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:04.998430+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:05.389712+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:05.803996+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:06.250766+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:06.638566+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:07.016520+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:07.570204+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:07.949874+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:08.372272+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:08.743820+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:09.265638+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:09.680140+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:10.152521+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:10.570905+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:10.970362+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:11.412680+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:11.798347+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:12.188823+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:12.614197+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:12.980923+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:13.436905+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:13.859434+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:14.275022+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:14.668918+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:15.181172+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:15.560623+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:15.996336+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:16.391028+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:16.799119+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:17.394940+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:17.792395+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:18.202671+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:18.611443+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:19.039818+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:19.427505+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:19.847711+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:20.238493+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:20.660571+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:21.156461+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:21.566300+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:21.971420+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:22.389777+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:22.819630+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:23.246258+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:23.676911+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:24.129904+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:24.589292+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:25.300196+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:25.718199+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:26.144582+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:26.588472+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:27.229548+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:27.628905+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:28.031882+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:28.467849+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:28.882525+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:29.265452+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:29.715324+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:30.152203+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:30.540038+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:30.969061+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:31.363336+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:31.783333+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:32.239840+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:32.649193+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:33.186197+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:33.601791+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:34.026087+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:34.451591+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:34.877189+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:35.281948+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:35.730355+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:36.144008+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:36.576877+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:36.989823+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:37.418666+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:37.946139+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:38.357238+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:38.767830+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:39.150279+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:39.567979+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:40.042767+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:40.499003+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:40.919268+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:41.365694+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:41.904933+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:42.344556+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:42.794862+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:43.183162+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:43.609214+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:44.047501+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:44.445427+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:44.842912+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:45.335591+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:45.828092+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:46.255800+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:46.698878+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:47.128842+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:47.551168+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:47.964067+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:48.381879+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:48.791642+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:49.246948+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:49.675100+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:50.078432+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:50.534671+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:51.172012+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:51.716287+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:52.210528+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:52.617040+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:53.068856+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:53.608798+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:53.997410+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:54.455188+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:54.918225+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.66}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.66}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:55.320982+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:55.890619+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:56.354792+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:56.776954+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:57.235796+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:57.676134+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:58.124576+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:58.534051+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:59.000387+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:59.415274+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:48:59.869307+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:00.320949+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:00.736509+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:01.272976+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:01.691983+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:02.132029+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:02.551470+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:02.942680+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:03.343018+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:03.793284+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:04.218801+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:04.621682+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:05.035440+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:05.481274+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:05.909822+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:06.378866+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:06.858624+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:07.365636+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:07.786430+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:08.205586+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:08.644312+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:09.113634+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:09.505181+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:09.929373+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:10.345210+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:10.905777+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:11.344967+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:11.763398+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:12.232152+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:12.605504+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:13.110386+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:13.528099+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:13.982275+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:14.387459+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:14.835437+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:15.267320+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:15.905828+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:16.307644+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:16.716888+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:17.128568+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:17.535324+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:18.002748+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:18.434330+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:18.835165+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:19.329540+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:19.993379+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:20.454927+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:20.867820+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:21.310200+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:21.906928+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:22.351987+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:22.782645+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:23.257866+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:23.700058+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:24.126348+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:24.568702+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:24.977154+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:25.359647+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:25.787366+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:26.252649+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:26.670538+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:27.076602+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:27.599325+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:28.014387+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:28.466504+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:28.847993+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:29.271929+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:29.840519+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:30.229205+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:30.631088+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:31.035232+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:31.441117+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:31.889389+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:32.273486+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:32.716070+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:33.160233+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:33.711528+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:34.134352+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:34.629438+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:35.058998+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:35.461641+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:35.896511+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:36.338750+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:36.742385+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:37.178757+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:37.743372+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:38.295142+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:38.809022+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:39.493960+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:39.937033+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:40.370370+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:40.765303+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:41.443501+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:41.847872+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:42.327569+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:42.805983+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:43.450047+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.68}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.68}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:43.886868+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:44.277367+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:44.734132+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:45.247321+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:45.652627+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:46.068195+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:46.529306+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:46.926792+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:47.385527+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:47.967618+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:48.375846+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:48.816286+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:49.321010+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:49.732288+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:50.162655+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:50.678757+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:51.170595+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:51.724189+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:52.212669+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:52.623788+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:53.106232+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:53.526712+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:53.931723+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:54.373403+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:54.798463+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:55.259219+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:55.737274+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:56.211621+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:56.636878+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:57.105193+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:57.505863+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:57.901659+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:58.317734+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:58.746949+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:59.214781+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:49:59.675496+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:00.082232+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:00.471843+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:00.914439+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:01.323381+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:01.778697+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:02.202612+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:02.601591+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:02.990827+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.65}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.65}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:03.450255+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:04.097917+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:04.615065+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:05.034319+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:05.612824+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:06.163259+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:06.772169+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:07.230659+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:07.758806+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:08.341961+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:08.748305+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:09.398001+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:09.869846+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:10.454451+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:10.968500+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:11.485359+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:11.946433+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:12.369666+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:12.769736+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:13.181702+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:13.837968+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:14.328094+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:14.748844+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:15.197307+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:15.600876+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:16.028378+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:16.590519+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:17.124563+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:17.673249+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:18.234557+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:18.659782+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:19.105280+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:19.518634+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:19.926419+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:20.409808+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:21.031277+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:21.557629+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:22.014029+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:22.439828+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:22.878337+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:23.344836+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:23.867305+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:24.236690+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:24.620314+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:25.057236+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:25.480583+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:25.896880+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:26.364979+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:26.778990+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:27.298521+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:27.809143+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:28.264519+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:28.676987+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:29.114005+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:29.543763+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:30.076178+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:30.514958+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:30.937097+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:31.400924+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:31.801955+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:32.180730+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:32.800996+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:33.237297+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:33.665574+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:34.114825+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:34.548089+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:34.981452+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:35.408363+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:35.891162+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:36.305206+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:36.715485+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:37.172159+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:37.557053+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:38.112461+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:38.517962+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:38.990869+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:39.411471+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:39.814762+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:40.243408+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:40.649788+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:41.034790+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:41.431883+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:41.918444+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:42.391558+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:42.785078+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:43.192915+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:43.633026+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:44.067895+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:44.505893+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:44.942431+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:45.353848+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:45.760971+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:46.202068+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:46.601206+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:47.063760+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:47.451209+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:47.891167+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:48.326242+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:48.715342+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:49.171349+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:49.606552+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:50.004458+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:50.472366+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:50.872623+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:51.292872+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:51.729682+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:52.144795+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:52.604345+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:53.039640+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:53.516010+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:53.910925+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:54.310599+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:54.731099+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:55.115824+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:55.498350+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.1}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.1}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:55.960028+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:56.347410+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:56.798364+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:57.222982+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:57.634573+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:58.064535+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:58.522568+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:58.953428+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:59.441681+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:50:59.872966+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:00.268887+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:00.653212+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:01.058489+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:01.451561+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:01.866806+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:02.281394+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:02.674460+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:03.103267+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:03.498832+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:03.891941+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:04.340933+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:04.765441+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:05.222357+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:05.673735+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:06.128434+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:06.568104+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:06.967044+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:07.361950+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:08.096930+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:08.584846+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:09.045509+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:09.511763+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:09.900796+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:10.296155+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:10.759436+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:11.147654+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:11.638974+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:12.027992+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:12.433488+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:12.878753+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:13.338006+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:13.763984+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:14.198625+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:14.581075+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:14.982055+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:15.413766+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:15.808094+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:16.272164+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:16.719135+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:17.139936+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:17.552039+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:17.992643+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:18.390718+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:18.897053+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:19.295345+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:19.704522+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:20.129814+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:20.560647+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:20.952168+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:21.370135+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:21.797862+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:22.215210+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:22.650072+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:23.066312+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:23.531798+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:23.956045+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:24.349594+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:24.730848+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:25.140888+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:25.557523+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:25.967667+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:26.385394+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:26.830407+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:27.257701+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:27.668277+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:28.040504+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:28.441107+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:28.863033+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:29.297588+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:29.762275+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:30.180995+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:30.614432+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:31.004990+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:31.400812+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:31.794651+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:32.260754+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:33.576019+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:34.008354+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:34.551284+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:34.969067+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:35.418084+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:35.852646+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:36.261581+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:36.689217+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:37.110442+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:37.479833+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:37.924254+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:38.359040+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:38.757911+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:39.183083+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:39.582503+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:39.982454+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:40.399683+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:40.865015+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:41.415622+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:41.828762+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:42.276807+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:42.765875+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:43.181298+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:43.595776+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:44.279348+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:44.665430+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:45.045442+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:45.467395+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:45.903896+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:46.300329+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:46.747211+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:47.136668+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:47.588526+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:48.019752+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:48.425709+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:48.805238+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:49.274775+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:49.697219+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:50.107416+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:50.525226+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:50.911913+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:51.411935+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:51.809631+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:52.250103+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:52.682243+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:53.080531+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:53.482508+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:54.013346+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:54.581231+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:55.012919+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:55.416133+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:55.864722+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:56.272222+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:56.681675+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:57.077314+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:57.502842+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:57.891042+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:58.315513+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:58.723494+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:59.147647+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:51:59.548435+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:00.112370+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:00.539041+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:00.957089+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:01.355397+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:01.793194+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:02.278583+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:02.746823+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:03.158567+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:03.602978+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:04.053316+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:04.465035+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:04.909360+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:05.309599+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:05.709296+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:06.159290+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:06.562331+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:07.100958+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:07.743420+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:08.164361+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:08.618948+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:09.095801+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:09.671911+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:10.076178+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:10.496332+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:10.880625+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:11.311296+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.67}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.67}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:11.732553+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:12.145346+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:12.592653+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:12.997014+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:13.444105+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:13.875425+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:14.269736+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:14.763848+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:15.312987+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:15.709027+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:16.117066+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:16.513046+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:16.949038+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:17.352988+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:17.792609+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:18.204968+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:18.644667+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:19.078762+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:19.624612+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:20.067148+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:20.509869+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:20.917135+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:21.355015+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:21.770301+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:22.160885+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:22.604916+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:23.018847+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:23.455827+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:23.950941+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:24.336365+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:24.755356+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:25.182604+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:25.604348+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:25.998724+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:26.401125+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:26.847892+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:27.289004+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:27.782915+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:28.183719+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:28.601015+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:29.049044+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:29.508858+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:29.985293+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:30.422786+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:30.841875+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:31.259282+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:32.042741+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:32.457047+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:32.887345+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:33.317753+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:33.831862+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:34.293158+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:34.720314+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:35.171562+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:35.643514+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:36.114572+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:36.515988+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:36.955311+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:37.390792+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:37.893772+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:38.336020+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:38.765454+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:39.165664+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:39.607288+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:40.026047+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:40.448767+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:40.833074+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:41.280847+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:41.739900+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:42.189092+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:42.635455+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:43.044026+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:43.444653+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:43.858401+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:44.279031+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:44.721818+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:45.213938+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:45.646191+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:46.033605+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:46.424410+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:46.847371+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:47.344624+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:47.858167+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:48.262329+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:48.686028+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:49.165565+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:49.760892+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:50.171197+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:50.594044+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:51.002651+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:51.412477+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:51.851187+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:52.288001+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:52.686185+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:53.136253+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:53.680400+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:54.069524+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:54.542550+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:54.930161+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:55.481135+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:55.855035+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:56.269287+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:56.693897+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:57.087316+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:57.478337+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:57.875608+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:58.272587+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:58.711936+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:59.117311+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:52:59.675667+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:00.081972+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:00.487453+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:00.884340+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:01.333975+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:01.850997+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:02.295071+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:02.775823+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:03.229740+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:03.780438+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:04.255506+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:04.798306+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:05.232166+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:05.745437+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:06.181695+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:06.594234+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:07.166867+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:07.561518+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:08.086296+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:08.510480+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:08.990406+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:09.406554+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:09.838827+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:10.251284+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:10.646229+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:11.055862+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:11.490125+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:11.978856+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:12.382658+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:12.856121+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:13.240315+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:13.707715+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:14.323990+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:14.817095+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:15.215822+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:15.658525+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:16.213653+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:16.614474+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:17.198757+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:17.698698+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:18.136706+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:18.559152+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:19.013244+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:19.437693+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:19.887848+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:20.357695+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:20.773755+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:21.186342+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:21.646072+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:22.130625+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:22.544447+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:23.005758+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:23.423808+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:23.916081+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:24.328736+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:24.787641+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:25.234417+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:25.823795+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:26.267709+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:26.698169+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:27.214099+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:27.841176+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:28.326942+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:28.756219+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:29.141953+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:29.602032+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:30.051598+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:30.577067+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:30.979578+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:31.405649+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:31.807208+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:32.193646+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:32.591728+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:33.011660+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:33.432763+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:33.854253+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:34.501540+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:34.920241+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:35.346642+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:35.978844+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:36.460724+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:37.008022+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:37.418724+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:37.862976+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:38.285987+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:38.837270+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:39.299985+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:39.736281+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:40.289682+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:40.746528+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:41.145237+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:41.567863+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:41.996369+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:42.596057+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:43.000880+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:43.424634+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:43.830736+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:44.253891+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:44.656702+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:45.042545+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:45.463967+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:45.916040+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:46.324733+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:46.710404+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:47.309556+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:47.704656+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:48.191462+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:48.597928+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:49.019468+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:49.456440+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:49.860420+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:50.261312+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:50.808831+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:51.262266+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:51.704452+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:52.095877+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:52.541511+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:53.013536+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:53.476885+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:53.904720+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:54.320500+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:54.750801+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:55.154758+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:55.577363+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:56.016415+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:56.419410+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:56.841997+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:57.271264+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:57.683730+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:58.168733+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:58.616858+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:59.031685+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:59.420932+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:53:59.948871+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:00.402360+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:00.809462+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:01.265320+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:01.663213+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:02.164900+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:02.590314+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:03.008301+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:03.439909+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:03.823639+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:04.311949+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:04.728406+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:05.135932+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:05.650210+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:06.114930+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:06.510909+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:06.934701+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:07.353628+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:07.850235+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:08.256694+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:08.692386+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:09.123204+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:09.639420+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:10.050394+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:10.585756+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:11.115335+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:11.518686+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:11.903905+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:12.404380+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:12.857021+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:13.325570+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:13.748429+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:14.177430+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:14.575469+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:15.006589+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:15.558589+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:15.964095+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:16.390541+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:16.796768+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:17.223475+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:17.649567+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:18.097162+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:18.530116+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:18.904139+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:19.298276+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:19.692057+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:20.105659+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:20.519669+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:20.941598+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:21.329501+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:21.738074+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:22.144469+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:22.565245+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:22.998286+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:23.437268+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:23.893645+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:24.296704+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:24.742996+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:25.195796+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:25.599112+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:25.982645+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:26.398289+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:26.876030+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:27.302623+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:27.720403+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:28.137093+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:28.520799+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:28.943714+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:29.384497+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:29.842485+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:30.341643+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:30.748348+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:31.174920+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:31.608278+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:32.060782+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:32.485301+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:32.883291+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:33.354176+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:33.964973+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:34.367989+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:34.827966+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:35.257527+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:35.686042+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:36.151705+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:36.561680+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:36.977955+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:37.399868+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:37.984489+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:38.452891+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:38.946996+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:39.420429+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:40.163325+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:40.638283+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:41.047486+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:41.438016+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:41.983479+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:42.377508+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:42.806681+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:43.203570+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:43.798626+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:44.219690+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:44.698381+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:45.091478+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:45.523317+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:45.923319+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:46.332084+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:46.736185+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:47.185475+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:47.797822+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:48.199629+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:48.627308+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:49.045562+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:49.476690+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:49.899485+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:50.342924+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:50.740088+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:51.138983+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:51.569243+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:52.033967+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:52.484095+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:52.962093+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:53.604871+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:54.027439+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:54.462442+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:54.858392+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:55.248835+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:55.758657+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:56.172902+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:56.618815+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:57.109297+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:57.637014+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:58.056029+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:58.504898+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:58.909564+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:59.515857+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:54:59.921943+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:00.368780+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:00.766743+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:01.208254+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:01.646684+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:02.069688+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:02.505299+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:02.900125+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:03.530352+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:03.919684+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:04.333277+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:04.790001+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:05.289950+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:05.723328+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:06.119131+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:06.510814+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:06.892198+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:07.346387+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:07.803745+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:08.238646+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:08.620646+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:09.014642+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:09.436997+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:09.828589+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:10.224734+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:11.554720+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:11.959175+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:12.340964+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:12.790019+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:13.206661+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:13.619182+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:14.006452+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:14.538986+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:15.026271+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:15.422705+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:15.820633+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:16.301721+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:16.717653+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:17.091270+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:17.487936+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:17.888663+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:18.315054+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:18.766407+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:19.207625+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:19.649212+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:20.174837+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:20.554172+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:20.947334+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:21.368492+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:21.819375+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:22.406781+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:22.815048+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:23.218687+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:23.626656+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:24.038976+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:24.405584+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:24.828608+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:25.228066+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:25.640776+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:26.053971+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:26.481723+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:26.886326+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:27.271309+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:27.840865+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:28.322545+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:28.752854+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:29.255114+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:29.694426+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:30.094162+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:30.480252+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:30.891137+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:31.372137+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:31.783687+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:32.173720+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:32.679013+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:33.122367+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:33.528073+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:33.916002+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:34.505835+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:34.934850+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:35.330821+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:35.874321+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:36.278158+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:36.663446+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:37.062754+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:37.453324+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:37.890099+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:38.299852+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:38.831493+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:39.269975+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:39.666068+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:40.061052+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:40.456892+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:40.872750+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:41.305985+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:41.734608+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:42.153424+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:42.712254+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:43.109630+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:43.581118+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:43.996906+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:44.390519+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:44.816373+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:45.252775+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:45.652416+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:46.035596+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:46.473530+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:46.885184+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:47.306789+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:47.763718+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:48.180936+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:48.564554+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:48.953000+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:49.456853+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:49.874430+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:50.286387+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:50.690474+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:51.129796+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:51.532680+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.66}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.66}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:51.938798+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:52.420487+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:52.850562+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:53.279055+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:53.705000+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:54.110908+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:54.477249+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:54.865166+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:55.300338+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:55.744892+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:56.158683+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:56.559979+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:56.936728+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.09}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.09}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:57.334959+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:57.713701+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:58.141913+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:58.528880+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:58.951468+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:59.423667+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:55:59.836021+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:00.355138+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:00.743684+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:01.167415+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:01.565408+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:01.974076+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:02.419335+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:02.827299+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:03.223361+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:03.688014+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:04.070037+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:04.491022+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:04.897843+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:05.329366+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:05.764157+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:06.205960+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:06.598412+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:07.007460+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:07.391738+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:07.871368+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:08.281616+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:08.724911+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:09.128123+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:09.633726+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:10.043953+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:10.430621+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:10.854085+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:11.246334+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:11.700183+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:12.211113+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:12.765197+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:13.181832+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:13.565174+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:13.959986+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:14.363347+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:14.866543+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:15.264061+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:15.653203+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:16.081852+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:16.481362+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:16.924395+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:17.361861+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:17.740374+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:18.167058+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:18.566154+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:18.991585+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:19.409838+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:19.844100+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:20.263288+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:20.667764+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:21.083375+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:21.461508+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:21.907043+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:22.318206+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:22.732341+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:23.101138+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:23.476710+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:23.859787+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:24.257962+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:24.673625+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:25.063672+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:25.482107+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:25.911495+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:26.304185+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:26.689349+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:27.374451+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:27.774264+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:28.211435+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:28.586029+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:29.024508+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:29.465636+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:29.868516+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:30.377331+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:30.832904+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:31.265136+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:31.669293+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:32.130790+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:32.574244+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:32.985583+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:33.363705+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:33.797548+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:34.375348+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:34.774455+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:35.172255+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:35.619067+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:36.020176+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:36.409773+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:36.833916+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:37.247134+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:37.698870+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:38.085496+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:38.506432+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:38.886524+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:39.323605+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:39.739172+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:40.151017+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:40.549458+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:40.938458+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:41.341430+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:41.867904+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:42.268708+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:42.716208+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:43.129635+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:43.607887+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:44.003230+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:44.466296+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:44.852440+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:45.266129+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:45.715021+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:46.123045+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:46.532119+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:46.949472+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:47.392027+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:47.815216+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:48.230852+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:48.648651+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:49.046234+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:49.459270+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:49.885958+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:50.297174+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:50.739919+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:51.196086+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:51.916357+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:52.305527+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:52.716942+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:53.140105+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:53.606656+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:54.087143+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:54.511053+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:54.991136+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:55.453814+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:55.853249+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:56.346348+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:56.769384+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:57.172341+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:57.618242+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:58.018825+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:58.465456+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:58.863297+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:59.291335+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:56:59.715886+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:00.165242+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:00.585929+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:00.994870+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:01.388507+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:01.864477+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:02.278994+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:02.685399+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:03.083629+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:03.540273+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:03.981739+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:04.359010+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:04.841166+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:05.207813+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:05.645935+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:06.048551+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:06.429715+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:06.826191+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.09}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.09}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:07.258012+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:07.677595+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:08.094904+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:08.486081+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:08.947198+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:09.410986+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:09.835015+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:10.259159+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:10.686178+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:11.112041+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:11.538043+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.66}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.66}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:11.930255+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:12.347042+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:12.765395+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:13.200149+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:13.576641+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:14.013898+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:14.483329+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:14.917329+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:15.323405+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:15.738558+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:16.348611+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:16.741168+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:17.157824+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:17.548046+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:17.956005+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:18.440294+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:18.840290+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:19.263576+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:19.679271+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:20.302604+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:20.691349+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:21.170307+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:21.588806+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:22.061743+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:22.448137+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:22.823298+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:23.296106+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:23.706968+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:24.220576+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:24.675985+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:25.099496+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:25.516485+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:26.077835+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:26.483712+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:26.904700+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:27.296413+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:27.707074+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:28.247644+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:28.651308+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:29.065243+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:29.447400+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:29.930115+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:30.357001+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:30.787142+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:31.183789+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:31.583602+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:32.016007+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:32.430325+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:32.874446+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:33.282930+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:34.015293+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:34.437603+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:34.842215+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:35.297942+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:35.731989+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:36.169508+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:36.605998+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:36.988805+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:37.415330+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:37.865321+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:38.250644+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:38.646689+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:39.069323+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:39.451073+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:39.837758+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:40.219871+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:40.644323+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:41.024558+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:41.442338+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:41.858971+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:42.456493+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.66}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.66}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:42.876229+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:43.317113+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:43.773707+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:44.199798+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:44.603130+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:44.997477+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:45.416255+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:45.794915+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:46.186370+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:46.645799+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:47.118089+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:47.632951+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:48.025032+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:48.422417+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:49.042845+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:49.444543+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:49.861650+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:50.263620+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:50.684641+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:51.078651+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:51.452036+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:51.883388+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:52.407466+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:52.835314+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:53.254412+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:53.677699+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:54.125736+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:54.600408+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:55.022412+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.67}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.67}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:55.443267+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:55.848631+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:56.344618+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:56.761113+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:57.186125+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:57.673630+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:58.100906+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:58.578820+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:58.957018+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:59.448141+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:57:59.844493+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:00.431971+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:00.875841+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:01.285557+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:01.700089+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:02.145009+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:02.625374+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:03.027781+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:03.406465+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:03.802815+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:04.283528+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:04.769482+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:05.186388+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:05.650997+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:06.159710+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:06.568619+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:06.975019+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:07.438408+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:07.848869+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:08.378863+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:08.825839+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:09.214138+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:09.588647+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:09.988398+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:10.382923+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:10.799629+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:11.217680+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:11.611177+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:12.006112+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:12.409784+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:12.805162+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:13.238217+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:13.814727+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.1}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.1}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:14.235601+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:14.710928+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:15.239793+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:15.776732+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:16.201192+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:16.582910+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:16.982709+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:17.411275+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:17.887905+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:18.285359+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:18.711698+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:19.112769+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:19.673364+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:20.182024+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:20.581253+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:21.043611+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:21.462282+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:21.861697+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:22.325296+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:22.718044+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:23.126802+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:23.541763+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:23.947578+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:24.348653+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:24.728437+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:25.177513+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:25.746519+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:26.230223+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:26.661679+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:27.055319+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:27.760108+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.66}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.66}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:28.201373+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:28.728473+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:29.289856+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:30.040290+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:30.474163+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:30.942219+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:31.352856+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:31.836304+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:32.411818+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:32.835239+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:33.319492+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:33.748268+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:34.196804+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:34.696032+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.1}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.1}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:35.095989+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:35.471627+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:35.908246+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:36.490389+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:36.896760+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:37.353206+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:37.866185+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:38.263637+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:38.774444+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:39.226570+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:39.687465+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:40.102700+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:40.523680+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:40.952861+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:41.376742+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:41.898548+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:42.521869+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:42.956248+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:43.453181+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:43.845314+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:44.306422+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:44.765790+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:45.203294+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:45.611562+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:46.012760+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:46.429096+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:46.827888+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:47.220096+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:47.709411+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:48.276458+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:48.748995+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:49.144612+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:49.544577+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:49.962759+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:50.446551+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:50.882641+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:51.344587+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:51.988039+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:52.430839+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:52.927927+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:53.330328+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:53.748292+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:54.294823+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:54.761722+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:55.231284+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:55.669392+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:56.077043+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:56.494173+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:56.924750+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:57.360554+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:57.801559+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:58.251456+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:58.691340+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:59.150380+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:58:59.570335+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:00.069737+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:00.528855+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:00.998821+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:01.429460+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.09}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.09}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:01.830234+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:02.204103+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:02.611378+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:03.045324+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:03.480918+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:04.054063+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:04.522209+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:05.011304+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:05.494811+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:06.048734+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:06.600366+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:07.211879+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:07.884385+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:08.390816+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:08.773837+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:09.190472+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:09.816404+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:10.265498+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:10.740839+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:11.158046+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:11.619239+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:12.037636+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:12.497716+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:12.998813+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:13.437287+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:13.900548+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:14.362159+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:14.795133+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:15.186717+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:15.717721+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:16.099940+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:16.539211+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:16.954717+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:17.398608+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:17.849987+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:18.386193+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:18.841854+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:19.367142+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:19.829920+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:20.364203+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:20.881724+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:21.323038+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:21.706612+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:22.123865+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:22.587883+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:22.994535+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:23.444105+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:23.884972+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:24.415825+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:24.895030+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:25.299425+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:25.722955+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:26.125620+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:26.520192+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:26.911984+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:27.332103+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:27.767244+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:28.312528+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:28.741431+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:29.160176+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:29.572945+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:30.017518+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:30.482187+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:30.877787+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:31.268482+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:31.741421+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:32.175697+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:32.590101+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:33.048047+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:33.439760+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:33.853548+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:34.287655+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:34.739894+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:35.281796+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:35.718135+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:36.160831+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:36.689037+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:37.102087+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:37.490969+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:38.043941+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:38.465540+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:38.877880+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:39.295074+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:39.672837+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:40.195642+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:40.611428+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:41.011322+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:41.417592+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:41.962347+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:42.413317+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:42.940853+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:43.342826+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:43.753102+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:44.145631+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:44.570757+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:44.970156+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.66}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.66}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:45.394600+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:45.824787+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.1}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.1}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:46.235398+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:46.666350+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:47.156668+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:47.590841+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:48.011343+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:48.544707+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:48.973841+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:49.428522+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:49.838811+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:50.276816+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:50.816619+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:51.236123+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:51.624049+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:52.078046+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:52.505714+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:52.940568+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:53.383227+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:53.792621+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:54.236231+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:54.691529+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:55.069041+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:55.811233+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:56.262926+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:56.691287+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:57.158094+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:57.573871+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:58.005527+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:58.521663+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:58.982211+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:59.374769+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T15:59:59.826910+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:00.368159+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:00.769328+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:01.149880+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:01.553041+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:01.985807+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:02.383154+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:02.825894+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:03.280149+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:03.717522+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:04.173619+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:04.725384+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:05.189527+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:05.633131+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:06.274816+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:06.786351+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:07.195202+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.66}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.66}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:07.767879+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:08.339228+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:08.820996+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:09.349892+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:09.814313+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.66}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.66}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:10.258233+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:10.627039+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:11.099008+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:11.511403+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:11.924807+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:12.516073+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:12.954082+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:13.396191+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:13.915950+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:14.358136+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:14.830308+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:15.347029+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:15.905928+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:16.316559+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:16.761405+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:17.216298+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:17.698834+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:18.191587+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:18.644311+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:19.110762+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:19.528830+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:20.141226+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:21.359887+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:21.965171+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:22.390628+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:22.830146+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:23.249335+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:23.674445+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:24.175482+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:24.583215+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:24.999851+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:25.422978+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:25.819785+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:26.302663+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:26.945380+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:27.452378+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:27.932659+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:28.423706+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:29.050390+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:29.450222+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:29.940879+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:30.385877+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:30.799430+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:31.242869+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:31.719590+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:32.183253+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:32.658947+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:33.191018+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:33.666550+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:34.120813+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:34.752982+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:35.218690+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:35.692656+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:36.157171+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:36.558314+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:37.002096+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:37.488277+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:37.975898+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:38.481758+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:39.020977+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:39.472198+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:39.957318+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:40.743142+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:41.191540+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:41.619884+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:42.041582+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:42.677369+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:43.121964+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:43.730160+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:44.130000+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:44.535245+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:45.037551+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:45.528981+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:46.141572+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:46.528834+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:46.947904+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:47.449080+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:47.982509+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:48.454101+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:48.891597+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:49.432917+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:49.838421+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:50.349000+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:50.846555+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:51.377342+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:51.965748+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:52.412493+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:52.874962+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:53.340879+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:53.819868+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:54.421304+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:55.056623+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:55.683182+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:56.220128+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:56.628984+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:57.109298+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:57.517586+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:58.104189+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:58.532398+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:58.994509+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:00:59.527358+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:00.030277+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:00.525801+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:00.938264+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:01.406792+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:01.912509+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:02.366650+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:02.813819+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:03.239981+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:03.743410+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:04.199792+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:04.672984+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:05.123489+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:05.584396+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:06.142632+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:06.519075+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:06.951866+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:07.342362+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:07.879514+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:08.299831+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:08.807843+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:09.263408+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:09.743510+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:10.131579+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:10.724671+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:11.219666+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:11.632097+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:12.033276+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:12.470936+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:12.952240+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:13.363277+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:13.853231+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:14.398435+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:14.897177+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:15.280448+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:15.719028+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:16.195283+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:16.665729+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:17.087491+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:17.473658+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:17.878979+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:18.520925+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:18.958131+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:19.419958+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:19.826601+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:20.270908+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:20.778182+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:21.194834+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:21.626355+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:22.022822+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:22.733189+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:23.193502+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:23.658339+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:24.101362+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:24.575021+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:25.061344+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:25.470373+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:25.871161+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:26.294668+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:26.750307+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:27.208614+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:27.631083+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:28.054407+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:28.519933+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:28.950943+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:29.331974+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:29.792168+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:30.258278+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:30.777752+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:31.206276+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:31.664585+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:32.147119+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:32.565905+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:32.976030+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:33.401454+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.66}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.66}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:33.794169+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:34.209133+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:34.863432+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:35.294937+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:35.740942+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:36.213650+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:36.617565+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:37.016721+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:37.415857+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:37.858737+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:38.295802+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:38.699171+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:39.139353+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:39.593631+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:40.045252+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:40.625422+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:41.056486+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:41.470493+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:41.854848+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:42.271148+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:42.699221+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:43.082811+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:43.506321+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:43.929673+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:44.348094+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:44.770737+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:45.186253+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:45.608136+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:46.045968+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:46.467587+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:46.891710+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:47.415805+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:47.825955+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:48.272316+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:48.681693+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:49.092700+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:49.514870+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:49.934430+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:50.341171+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:50.758691+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:51.229696+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:51.692275+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:52.098422+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:52.533366+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:52.940852+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:53.340879+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:53.736252+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:54.168011+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:54.629514+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:55.031199+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:55.471323+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:55.938599+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:56.316890+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:56.778334+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:57.220494+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:57.677162+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:58.111723+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.66}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.66}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:58.533102+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:58.983478+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:59.406629+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:01:59.842015+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:00.249485+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:00.703278+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:01.162926+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:01.604491+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:02.052030+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:02.578691+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:03.149113+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:03.557387+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:03.958400+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:04.387148+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:04.816879+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:05.255546+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:05.710032+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:06.197861+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:06.619934+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:07.046699+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:07.478430+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:07.931572+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:08.408514+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:08.883565+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:09.313733+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:09.716961+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:10.164354+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:10.596503+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:11.015049+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:11.408743+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:11.845502+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:12.258440+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:12.686251+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:13.083212+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:13.545828+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:14.066056+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:14.566834+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:14.985560+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:15.394092+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:15.863479+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:16.306817+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:16.784587+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:17.177501+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:17.605223+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:18.106453+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:18.557606+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:19.054035+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:19.485378+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:19.907373+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:20.306338+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:20.782501+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:21.177132+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:21.582435+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:21.966490+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:22.430055+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:22.866304+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:23.267116+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:23.682543+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:24.111572+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:24.528874+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:24.968745+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:25.391537+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:25.933518+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:26.342745+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:26.747755+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:27.135234+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:27.557789+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:27.944098+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:28.373458+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:28.846975+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:29.225200+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:29.612416+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:30.027314+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:30.437395+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:31.050751+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:31.468943+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:31.892934+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:32.316555+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:32.708454+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:33.131065+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:33.633550+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:34.080531+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:34.487836+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:34.926246+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:35.363091+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:35.811199+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:36.276539+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:36.703367+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:37.147946+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:37.630029+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:38.062238+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:38.671074+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:39.101748+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:39.580192+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:39.989013+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:40.639870+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:41.063037+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:41.498137+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:41.895667+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:42.357597+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:42.849231+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:43.371264+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:44.074773+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:44.480031+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:44.897598+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:45.278920+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:45.734581+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:46.368806+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:46.800269+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:47.249231+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:47.825724+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.09}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.09}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:48.248039+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:48.701087+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:49.104715+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:49.818801+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:50.418228+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:50.811231+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:51.268152+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:51.722950+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:52.297238+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:52.765985+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:53.226474+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:53.648171+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:54.041266+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:54.509554+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:54.937018+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:55.420940+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:55.877936+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:56.287784+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:56.821125+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:57.210732+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:57.672411+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:58.215927+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:58.641118+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:59.092812+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:02:59.583298+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:00.005137+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:00.478900+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:00.906089+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:01.358528+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:02.002792+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:02.445163+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:02.886762+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:03.350365+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.68}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.68}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:03.974008+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:04.397557+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:04.816886+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:05.233525+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:05.701640+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:06.105931+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:06.513588+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:06.956053+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:07.373472+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:07.794615+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:08.180245+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:08.581194+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:09.007262+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:09.420719+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:09.907119+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:10.327400+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:10.784411+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:11.265999+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:11.726099+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:12.138396+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:12.566914+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:13.017001+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:13.419981+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:13.804566+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:14.239041+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:14.712508+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:15.178204+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:15.682646+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:16.187641+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:16.689266+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:17.091464+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:17.492669+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:17.938527+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:18.406041+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:18.874362+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:19.301171+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:19.695975+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:20.201196+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:20.705253+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:21.098587+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:21.521640+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:21.939509+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:22.484560+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:22.933567+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:23.429032+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:23.903502+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:24.400303+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:24.882491+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:25.292786+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:25.734052+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:26.226057+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:26.674392+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:27.146888+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:27.693163+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:28.156077+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:28.631594+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:29.068618+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:29.481115+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:29.875284+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:30.392864+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:30.809663+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:31.240876+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:31.676597+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:32.111521+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:32.601967+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:33.035790+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:33.454427+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:33.861113+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:34.370714+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:34.777605+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:35.181261+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:35.609992+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:36.120044+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:36.593597+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:37.037126+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:37.497941+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:38.160346+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:38.592939+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:39.097430+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:39.539275+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:39.973051+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:40.378571+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:40.886934+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:41.345201+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:41.758741+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:42.175427+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:42.615510+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:43.254817+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:43.681284+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:44.168294+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:44.583231+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:44.991067+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:45.430529+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:45.943913+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:46.365574+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:46.802442+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:47.232267+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:47.638941+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:48.047993+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:48.496262+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:48.981815+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:49.441100+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:49.883068+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:50.305731+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:50.737709+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:51.153872+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:51.555568+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:51.960198+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:52.424430+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:52.992570+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:53.401447+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:53.864410+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:54.340065+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:54.775332+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:55.224419+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:55.645947+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:56.061966+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:56.563959+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:56.989967+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:57.462388+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:57.874430+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:58.278667+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:58.689955+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:59.085376+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:59.543905+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:03:59.945301+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:00.359494+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:00.800427+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:01.257159+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:01.710209+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:02.202802+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:02.604500+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:03.029725+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:03.477103+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:03.874813+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:04.306496+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:04.723889+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:05.181156+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:05.589309+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:06.081323+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:06.685998+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:07.141258+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:07.749501+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:08.273634+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:08.847116+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:09.288929+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:09.728610+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:10.142119+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:10.542293+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:11.086699+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:11.525265+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:11.981293+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:12.455098+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:12.850364+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:13.295828+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:13.859913+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:14.289859+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:14.737179+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:15.138473+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:15.559206+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:15.961363+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:16.430279+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:16.852978+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:17.264771+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:17.641859+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:18.150417+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:18.579221+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:18.983789+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:19.416967+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:19.818728+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:20.233776+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:20.615013+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:21.102801+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:21.541053+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:22.041230+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:22.496512+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:22.903525+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:23.498649+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:24.112316+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:24.496056+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:24.966253+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:25.392055+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:25.871324+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:26.304261+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:26.732051+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:27.111395+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:27.513347+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.65}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.65}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:27.939377+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:28.359123+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:28.804989+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:29.204335+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:29.612024+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:30.032536+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:30.430216+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:30.862950+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:31.252074+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:31.689573+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:32.128703+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:32.551253+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:32.975787+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:33.405325+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:33.842610+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:34.481495+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:34.899405+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:35.350497+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:35.735015+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:36.125679+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:36.570369+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:37.019835+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:37.496508+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:37.955061+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:38.354984+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:38.757267+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:39.206059+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:39.756757+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:40.165838+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:40.598527+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:41.051814+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:41.474086+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:41.912690+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:42.338863+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.1}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.1}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:42.746383+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:43.239201+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:43.697053+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:44.195849+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:44.628129+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:45.019409+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:45.417326+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:45.883752+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:46.287417+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:46.711445+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:47.121376+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:47.513915+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:48.843354+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:49.382494+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:49.874804+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:50.341429+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:52.418182+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:53.050210+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:53.493394+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:53.908995+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:54.560349+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:54.988333+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:55.401307+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:55.796269+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:56.277952+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:58.228303+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:58.694706+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:59.181709+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:04:59.595087+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:00.015064+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:00.498886+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:00.991341+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:03.900506+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:04.348743+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:04.978296+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:05.390048+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:05.989020+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:11.889030+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:12.317434+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:12.722931+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:13.115987+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:13.484391+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:19.840070+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:20.308345+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:20.742803+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:21.212565+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:25.081495+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:30.173605+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:30.583071+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:30.973923+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:31.417023+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:31.820592+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:32.246999+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:32.644099+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:33.243511+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:33.772106+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:34.215660+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:34.641782+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:35.170977+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:35.556190+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:35.941305+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:36.345503+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.49}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.49}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:36.736321+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:37.144258+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:37.551486+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:38.003005+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:38.545490+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:38.942401+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:39.349625+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:39.743253+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:40.222684+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:40.644000+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:41.106045+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:41.511490+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:41.997361+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:42.528541+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:44.805777+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:45.233883+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:45.680809+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:46.084435+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:46.506401+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:46.967243+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:47.474686+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:47.949306+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:48.508766+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:50.974495+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:51.382451+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:51.847732+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:52.255261+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:52.715321+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:53.157000+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:53.697126+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:54.148663+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:54.545649+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:54.971218+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:55.390348+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:55.944928+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:56.355321+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:56.742356+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:57.210449+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:57.601457+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:05:58.006544+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:00.871878+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:01.280327+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:01.688960+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:02.125638+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:02.567330+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:02.988037+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:03.458481+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:03.945049+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:05.375659+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:05.822635+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:06.294330+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:06.921765+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:07.314400+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:07.739122+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:08.205331+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:08.778873+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:09.170531+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:09.572245+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:09.970590+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:10.373075+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:10.799728+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:11.310677+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:11.702820+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:12.121041+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:12.514122+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:12.933730+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:13.694172+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:14.212238+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:14.683861+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:15.092043+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:15.558093+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:16.078469+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:16.604827+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:17.057464+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:17.490623+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:17.942370+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:18.410889+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:18.822440+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:19.325926+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:19.772973+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:20.266906+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:20.745559+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:21.216858+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:21.682798+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:22.109015+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:22.526756+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:22.943579+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:23.335812+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:23.745647+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:24.173742+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:24.680138+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:25.107899+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:25.552150+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:25.988453+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:26.380229+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:26.776135+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:27.203946+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:27.658162+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:28.046694+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:28.470134+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:28.885109+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:29.469869+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:30.124670+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:30.539667+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:30.983096+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:31.414222+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:31.960291+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:32.400884+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:32.999091+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:33.397897+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:33.790866+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:34.191596+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:34.714762+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:35.179742+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:35.672973+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:36.145323+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:36.579686+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:37.137698+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:37.599681+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:38.050020+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:38.535071+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:39.130206+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:39.558254+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:39.984019+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:40.416490+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:40.857570+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:41.271389+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:41.680946+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:42.197046+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:42.801572+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:43.203954+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:43.627630+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:44.052584+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:44.466316+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:44.904426+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:45.309483+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:45.734139+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:46.157279+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:46.709273+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:47.198785+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:47.681615+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:48.209073+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:48.706380+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:49.328190+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:49.735967+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:50.170666+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:50.555851+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:50.967970+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:51.394735+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:51.820024+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:52.252400+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:52.689555+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:53.538927+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:53.945684+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:54.537356+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:54.992823+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:55.468197+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:55.861677+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:56.540700+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:56.921882+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.68}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.68}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:57.414353+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:57.867311+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:58.299451+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:58.762570+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:59.441697+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:06:59.838929+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:00.250750+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:00.671225+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:01.096173+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:01.484146+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:01.885729+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:02.323860+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:02.867084+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:03.301660+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:03.760511+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:04.174626+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:04.602857+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:04.976882+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:05.377809+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:07.571134+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:07.974487+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:08.392540+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:09.037826+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:09.534156+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:10.094596+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:10.569221+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:10.993442+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 41, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:11.458965+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:11.842704+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:12.226350+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:12.677014+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:13.135359+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:13.534145+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:13.988348+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:14.495364+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:16.023279+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:16.475568+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:16.927802+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:17.348070+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:17.785176+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:18.175854+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:18.590173+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:19.114605+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:19.553510+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:20.068690+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:20.734017+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:21.212585+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:21.677517+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:22.045286+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:22.478925+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:22.922902+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:23.330842+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:23.729801+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:24.127394+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:24.543999+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:24.960076+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:27.328353+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:27.776111+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:28.221760+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:28.662411+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:29.103312+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:29.547475+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:30.004704+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:31.691403+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:32.114036+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:32.561643+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:32.960894+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:33.404769+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:33.825611+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:34.610643+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:35.058967+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:35.542984+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:35.994973+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:36.384204+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:36.807516+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:37.220606+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:37.666327+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:38.040253+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:38.430610+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:38.851397+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:39.272479+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:39.702027+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:40.117571+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:40.670876+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:41.280387+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:41.725817+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:42.179197+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:42.652201+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 83, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:43.083117+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:43.564987+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:44.067535+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:44.470697+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:44.927290+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:45.349408+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:45.824922+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:46.254059+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:46.720351+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:47.114832+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:47.524870+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:48.009003+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:48.501713+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:48.947199+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 64, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:49.364143+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:49.792741+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:50.202064+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:50.591137+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:51.032906+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:51.506917+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:51.921485+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:52.711802+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:53.151067+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:53.572275+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:54.083992+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:54.598418+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:55.061874+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:55.453750+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:55.861819+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:56.276897+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:56.764924+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:57.160734+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:57.599952+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:58.076929+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:58.527403+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:58.966596+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:59.459844+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:07:59.884961+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:00.307673+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:00.766227+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:01.203337+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:02.472341+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:02.931954+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:03.370158+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:03.816825+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:04.297533+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:04.727767+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:05.141625+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:05.564945+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:06.057841+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:06.491671+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:07.161387+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:07.597321+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.65}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.65}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:08.071816+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:08.512089+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:08.929928+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:09.353459+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:09.790020+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:10.200443+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:10.668304+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:11.087493+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:12.586005+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:13.086986+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:13.496601+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:13.885691+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:14.431676+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:14.971191+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:15.377456+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:15.780982+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:16.251404+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:16.641506+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:17.049146+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:17.480590+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:17.896512+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:18.345356+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:18.801842+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:19.431792+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:19.856811+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 21, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:20.490951+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:20.905303+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:21.409981+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:21.821665+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:22.260234+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:22.703053+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:23.205062+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:23.605144+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:23.995900+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:24.430728+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:24.843127+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:25.285389+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 1, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:25.698277+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:26.098703+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 99, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:26.509014+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:27.368772+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:27.814457+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:28.210019+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:28.592892+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:29.212739+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:30.631799+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:31.101866+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:31.510003+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:31.911891+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:32.371405+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:32.851899+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:33.259376+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:33.885047+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:34.361193+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:34.801901+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:35.196401+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:35.652050+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:36.045753+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:36.433846+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:36.979358+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:37.401671+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:37.829036+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:38.285697+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:38.725036+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:39.181768+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:39.591925+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:40.045183+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:40.465921+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:40.993432+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:41.424001+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:41.840535+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:42.253194+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:42.825072+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:43.267617+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.64}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.64}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:43.711922+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:44.167547+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:44.568709+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:44.987781+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:45.641812+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:46.171928+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:46.683213+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:47.102596+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:47.510962+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:47.933661+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:48.335814+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:48.804268+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:49.261089+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:49.651829+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:50.062694+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:50.569491+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.53}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.53}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:51.031808+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:51.433428+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:51.875108+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:52.876297+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:53.341769+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:53.765969+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:54.179393+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:54.608459+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:55.054178+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:55.481493+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:55.911920+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 96, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:56.340955+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:56.869664+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:57.307875+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:57.743385+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:58.175148+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:58.560390+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:59.023825+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:59.442614+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:08:59.879423+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:00.309218+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:00.772289+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:01.329279+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:01.802148+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:02.272716+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:02.707918+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:03.161073+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:03.608238+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 20, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:04.076648+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:04.560097+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:05.204306+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:05.600500+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:06.008654+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:06.470943+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:07.003939+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:07.417645+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:07.801950+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:08.212066+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:08.658210+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:09.070977+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:09.482314+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:09.880871+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:10.301829+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:10.833490+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:11.261939+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.16}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.16}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:11.762001+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:12.290291+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:13.382250+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:13.791968+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:14.353841+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:14.786409+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 32, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:15.277470+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:15.735029+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:17.262071+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:17.753291+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:18.200103+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:18.611752+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:19.047976+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 79, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:19.477883+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:19.906991+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:20.299367+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:20.779316+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:21.274136+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:21.673189+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.52}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.52}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:22.246505+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:22.647292+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:23.072844+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:23.482667+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:23.921956+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:24.501975+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:25.012000+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:25.412709+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:25.886020+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:26.314921+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:26.770467+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:27.232157+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:27.623084+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 50, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:28.009971+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:28.463555+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:28.916863+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:29.442241+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 69, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:30.024331+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:31.455457+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:32.187820+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:32.653689+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:33.078307+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:33.522389+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:33.961559+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:34.352941+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:34.885205+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:35.292962+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:37.737270+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:38.338322+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:38.832861+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:39.254293+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:39.659506+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:40.058975+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 2, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:40.486519+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:40.891871+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:41.322922+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:41.779417+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:42.234297+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:42.725240+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:43.169834+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 303, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:45.113454+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:45.532064+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:45.932943+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:46.356571+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:46.768859+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.65}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.65}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:47.270554+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:47.705603+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:48.112051+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:48.600210+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:49.008121+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:49.512041+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 61, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:49.967292+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:50.434667+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:51.033502+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:51.439543+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.62}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.62}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:51.843474+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:52.229633+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:52.640473+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:54.453843+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:54.842957+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 45, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:55.338762+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:55.775034+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:56.214569+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 25, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:56.598523+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:57.010779+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:58.741941+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:59.168629+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 11, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:09:59.743888+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:00.182691+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 80, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:00.622159+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:01.041454+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:03.675199+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:04.136831+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 24, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:04.562734+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:04.970134+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:05.405619+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:05.862729+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:06.264059+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:06.713389+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 86, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:07.182962+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.21}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.21}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:07.579349+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 60, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.47}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.47}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:08.032887+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:08.470174+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:08.925755+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:09.368597+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:09.822081+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:10.296998+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:10.742787+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 54, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:11.169683+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 70, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:11.591871+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:12.003159+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 30, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:12.407650+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:12.836458+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:13.290884+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:13.741856+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:14.207096+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:14.617388+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:15.043716+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 82, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:15.643837+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 9, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:16.260268+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:16.717672+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 77, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:17.163598+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:17.601918+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:19.188279+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 33, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:20.794309+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 18, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:21.329406+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:21.892127+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:22.303035+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.63}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.63}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:22.683024+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:23.092596+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:23.544363+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:25.142145+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:26.323080+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.3}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.3}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:26.733572+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 10, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:27.177937+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:27.593916+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 28, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:27.992292+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:28.593523+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 42, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.12}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.12}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:29.093747+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:31.274668+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.57}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.57}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:31.791218+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.24}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.24}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:32.232134+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.11}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.11}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:32.633550+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 65, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:33.090757+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:33.513062+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:33.928910+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:34.541970+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:34.999879+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:35.427097+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 74, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:37.372765+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:37.834376+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:38.233481+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:38.724371+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.65}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 284, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.65}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:39.149777+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:39.552310+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 56, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:40.021455+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:40.528338+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:41.002101+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.17}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.17}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:41.427301+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 100, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:41.872254+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 6, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.2}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 356, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.2}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:42.294070+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.22}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 353, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.22}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:42.773707+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:43.235666+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 17, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:43.641354+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 13, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:44.046722+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.09}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 272, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.09}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:44.495422+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:44.938220+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:45.375311+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:45.785543+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 59, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:49.407547+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 48, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:50.007767+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 84, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:50.404262+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 72, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:50.875360+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:51.272264+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:51.683684+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 35, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:52.084406+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 22, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:52.485380+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:52.952111+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:53.564345+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:53.956279+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 8, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.39}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.39}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:54.571901+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 5, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:54.995269+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 93, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:55.385753+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.29}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 302, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.29}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:55.789706+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:56.268526+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:56.725354+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 95, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:57.953012+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:58.375588+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.58}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.58}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:58.811033+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 94, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:59.467443+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:10:59.877022+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:00.312439+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.5}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.5}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:00.732409+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:01.173735+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 73, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:03.650372+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:04.042829+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 344, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:04.434133+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:04.821325+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 7, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.27}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.27}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:05.237971+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 98, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:05.695241+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:06.099918+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 320, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:06.546230+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 49, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.6}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.6}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:07.050774+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 36, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:07.457664+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 23, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:07.875167+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 3, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:08.284902+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:08.704087+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 92, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:09.158756+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 43, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.45}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.45}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:09.572051+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 38, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.54}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.54}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:10.049379+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:10.475372+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 88, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:11.145008+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.61}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 300, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.61}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:11.715428+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 31, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:12.210024+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 78, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.56}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.56}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:12.874111+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 37, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 317, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:13.286808+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 27, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:13.979332+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 44, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:14.406317+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 285, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:14.827025+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 76, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:15.212920+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:15.795661+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 68, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.33}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.33}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:16.279846+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 34, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.26}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.26}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:16.692125+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 97, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 1 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.28}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 321, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.28}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:17.148346+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 4, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 304, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:17.712931+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:18.158349+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:18.552547+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 39, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.55}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 326, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.55}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:18.994678+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 onward, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 onward does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:19.517099+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 26, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.32}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.32}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:20.795046+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 12, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:21.717100+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 58, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 306, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:22.254108+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC in the future."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:23.570199+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 63, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 20 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.18}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 384, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.18}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:24.163470+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 47, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.44}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 323, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.44}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:24.812249+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 15, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:25.247593+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 57, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.15}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.15}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:25.799233+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 14, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 290, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:26.454158+00:00", "criteria_mode": "false_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 16, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.34}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 325, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.34}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:27.285474+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 62, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.51}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 324, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.51}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:27.805345+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 85, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.37}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.37}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:28.945003+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 20 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.38}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 347, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.38}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:29.372704+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 75, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.23}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 301, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.23}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:29.792266+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 66, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:32.490835+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 89, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.35}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 274, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.35}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:32.924167+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.41}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.41}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:33.473369+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 20 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.36}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 305, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.36}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:33.925558+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 52, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.31}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.31}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:34.464126+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 71, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:35.052267+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 29, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once in the future.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.46}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 307, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.46}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:35.442790+00:00", "criteria_mode": "true_only", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 53, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 1 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.42}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 322, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.42}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:35.861368+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 46, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 288, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:36.237660+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 40, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "Bitcoin reaches 100 million USD per BTC at least once by December 31, 2035.", "false": "Bitcoin does not reach 100 million USD per BTC by December 31, 2035."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.25}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 350, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.25}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:36.820414+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 55, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:37.282931+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 87, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.43}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.43}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:37.675452+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 90, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 1 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.4}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 381, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.4}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:38.050296+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 19, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.13}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 283, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.13}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:38.635922+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 81, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.59}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 289, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.59}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:39.072314+00:00", "criteria_mode": "omitted", "year": "no_date", "target_usd": 20000000, "replicate": 51, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 20 million"}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.48}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 273, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.48}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:39.471617+00:00", "criteria_mode": "empty", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 1000000, "replicate": 91, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 1 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "", "false": ""}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.19}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 299, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.19}
{"timestamp_utc": "2026-09-21T16:11:40.521309+00:00", "criteria_mode": "paired_paraphrase", "year": 2035, "target_usd": 100000000, "replicate": 67, "request": {"model": "jev-latest", "state": "", "questions": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "instructions": "bitcoin will reach 100 million by December 31, 2035", "criteria": {"true": "At some point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035, one bitcoin trades for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars.", "false": "At no point from September 21, 2026 through December 31, 2035 does one bitcoin trade for at least 100 million in U.S. dollars."}}}}, "response": {"model": "jev-1.13.0", "answers": {"new_noul_1": {"type": "noul", "noul": 0.14}}, "usage": {"input_tokens": 387, "output_tokens": 24}}, "p": 0.14}
